It’s hard for a Phillies fan to picture our team making the playoffs at this point. Now that they are playing good baseball, it’s more than likely too late. But me being the glass half full kind of guy, I believe until I’m told it’s officially over. And guess what, I haven’t been told that yet.
ESPN has the Phillies at a 0.7% chance of making the playoffs at this point after sweeping the Rockies yesterday in a double header. The Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10. They have been playing better baseball as a team since Utley, Howard and Halladay all returned from injuries. Which is something I said all year long about the Phillies struggle. Those key injuries affected this team. Injuries to your star players will do that. I don’t care what team, what sport. Now the problem this year, unlike recent years in the past for the Phillies, is that the depth wasn’t as great. The players filling in weren’t capable to handle the role’s that they were in. Obviously.
So here is how the Phillies need to end this season to have a realistic shot at the playoffs. I’m not getting my hopes up, but it is nice to actually have 0.7% chance of hope at this point. Because only a few long months ago, 0.7% is 100% more of a chance than we thought we would have right now.
The Phillies’ remaining schedule is as follows:
Sept. 10-12 vs. Marlins (.447)
Sept. 13-16 @ Astros (.314)
Sept. 17-19 @ Mets (.464)
Sept. 21-23 vs. Braves (.574)
Sept. 25-27 vs. Nationals (.614)
Sept. 28-30 @ Marlins (.447)
Oct. 1-3 @ Nationals (.614)
Realistically, the Phillies would have to sweep the Marlins in both series, as well as the Astros and Mets, then win at least five of their nine remaining games with the Braves and Nationals. At any rate, finishing out the season at least 18-4 would bring them to 24-6 to close out the season, an .800 winning percentage. If the Phillies were to accomplish this feat, it would be more improbable and more impressive than each of their late-season runs to claim the NL East crown in 2007 and ’08. Even if it’s not likely, it is nice that the Phillies are still playing somewhat meaningful baseball in September after all of the adversity they went through in the previous five months